Leandro Bernardes - Ag Fight/ MMAnytt

Betting tips for UFC 245: Usman vs Covington

✅Kamaru Usman vs Colby Covington ✅ UFC 245 ✅ Fight Odds

UFC 245 is going to be an amazing event. With three competitive title fights on the card, I expect pure violence. I have decided to put some money on the main event, and in this article I will try to explain why I did it.

Kamaru Usman vs Colby Covington

Both those fighters – the champion and the challenger are quite similar. They both are versatile fighters,  pushing insane pace to break their opponents. Both used to be one dimensional wrestlers, but improved their striking skills tremendously. Despite having similar skills and attributes, there are some differences between Usman and Covington.

1

100% up to $200

5 / 5
TOTAL SCORE
Play now! Play now!
888logo

888

100% up to $200
1
Play now! Play now!

Usman throws many power punches and heavy low/calf kicks with bad intentions – which obviously costs a lot of energy. That being said, his cardio has always being great. He loves to keep opponents on the fence and terrorise them with the wrestling and dirty boxing… or just take them down and smash them on the ground.

On the other side, Colby uses his boxing to outstrike opponents, land as much as it’s possible, opposite to Usman – Colby throws volume to mainly score points. Same as the champion, Covington aims for putting his rival on their backs.

What will happen when they meet inside the octagon? I believe this is a clash of Kamaru’s power with Colby’s cardio. Neither of them ever faced such a good wrestler, so it’s tough to be confident, but I believe Usman’s power will be too much for Colby to handle. The champion’s strength advantage should let him win at least 3 rounds, and the challenger will probably start to take over in the last 2 rounds.

But winning 15 minutes and surviving last 10 isn’t the only option for Usman’s victory. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if he hurt Colby with hook and finished him on the ground. Neither of those fighters is elite puncher, yet both achieved a lot of success in striking due to mixing it with wrestling. Since I give Kamaru grappling edge, I think Colby will have to worry about takedowns for the first time; that surely could affect his striking, cardio and confidence.

To be honest, I’m not crazy about moneyline odds, as 1.51 – 2.55 reflects my thoughts on the fight. I think Usman wins by decision, but it’s possible that he will be fighting emotionally. If he tries to rip Colby’s head off, there’s a chance he wins by KO (that’s why I dislike decision odds) or gasses out (that’s why I dislike moneyline).

However, I think that betting Double Chance – Usman by KO/dec 1.70 makes sense, as I don’t expect submission here. Ohmbet, I’m in.

My pick: Kamaru Usman by KO/TKO/DQ or decision
Ohmbet odds: 1.70 (implied probability = 58%)
My probability: 65%

New Welcome offer – UFC 245 Odds boost on Kamaru Usman

Ohmbet is offering new members a welcome bonus on Kamaru Usman. Receive a boosted odds on Usman, olds odds 1.51 is now enhanced to 10.00 for new members!
For more information about Ohmbet’s new welcome offer click here – geo variations, 18+ and T&C’s apply.

Article written by Maciej Grochowski

18+, begambleaware, please bet responsibly.

1

100 % up to $150

TOTAL SCORE
Play now! Play now!
2

100% up to $200

TOTAL SCORE
Play now! Play now!
3

100% up to $400 in Casino Bonus

TOTAL SCORE
Play now! Play now!
4

Claim $1,200 FREE & 200 FREE SPINS

TOTAL SCORE
Play now! Play now!
Betsafe logo

Betsafe

100 % up to $150
1
Play now! Play now!

Ohmbet

100% up to $400 in Casino Bonus
2
Play now! Play now!
Mr Green

Mr Green

Claim $1,200 FREE & 200 FREE SPINS
3
Play now! Play now!
Exclusivez-Latest news
888logo

888

100% up to $200
1
Play now! Play now!

Ohmbet

100% up to $400 in Casino Bonus
2
Play now! Play now!
Betsafe logo

Betsafe

100 % up to $150
3
Play now! Play now!
Mr Green

Mr Green

Claim $1,200 FREE & 200 FREE SPINS
4
Play now! Play now!
Recent Comments
1

100% up to $200

TOTAL SCORE
Play now! Play now!
2

100% up to $400 in Casino Bonus

TOTAL SCORE
Play now! Play now!
3

100 % up to $150

TOTAL SCORE
Play now! Play now!
4

Claim $1,200 FREE & 200 FREE SPINS

TOTAL SCORE
Play now! Play now!